Presidential Address: Climate and weather forecasting: Prediction, chaos, divination, or guess?
Any science worth its salt must judge its value upon the criteria of prediction. In our case we study the atmosphere and climate so as we may better forecast what is going to happen. That is what I wish to talk about this evening. To use the modern idiom, forecasting may be called our core business, not only weather forecasting but also climate forecasting. Many atmospheric scientists focus on forecasting, which is not surprising because that is what most are paid to do. Forecasting is an essential part of their job description.